In pea plants, purple color of flowers is determined by the dominant allele while white color is determined by the recessive allele. A genetic cross between two purple flower-bearing plants results in an offspring with white flowers. The probability that the third offspring from these parents will have purple flowers is ________ (rounded off to 2 decimal places).
GATE 2019 BT Q.47: solution and answer
Answer and solution
ANSWER
The probability that the third offspring will have purple flowers is 0.75.
Official answer: 0.75Source: Official answer key, GATE 2019 BT (IIT Madras)
Purple is the dominant phenotype (allele ) and white is recessive (allele ); an offspring with white flowers must be homozygous recessive, genotype .
Both parents show the purple (dominant) phenotype, yet one of their offspring is . Since a offspring must receive a recessive allele from each parent, neither parent can be homozygous dominant (a parent could never contribute a allele). Hence both purple-flowered parents must be heterozygous: .
A monohybrid cross gives the genotypic ratio , i.e. a phenotypic ratio of purple white. So for any single offspring of this cross, and .
Each offspring arises from an independent fertilization event, so the phenotype of one offspring (here, the first offspring being white) gives no information about, and does not change, the probability distribution for any other offspring, including the third.
Therefore the probability that the third offspring has purple flowers is
KEY IDEA
Each offspring's genotype is determined independently at fertilization (each is an independent Mendelian trial), so the phenotype of one sibling gives no information about another; the probability for the third offspring is simply the parental cross's phenotypic ratio.
WATCH OUT FOR
Treating the white first offspring as changing the probability for later offspring (e.g., trying to condition on "since one was already white, the remaining must balance to a 3:1 ratio" or halving/adjusting 3/4), when in fact fertilizations are independent Bernoulli trials and each offspring's probability of being purple is always 3/4 regardless of siblings' phenotypes.
From the GATE 2019 BT paper. Every question of this paper · Download the full paper · All 10 Mendelian genetics questions, with notes
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